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Are you head over heels? Are you thinking about marriage? Are you pushing the idea of divorce from your nubile, young mind? Well, perhaps you should reconsider, since it’s not that difficult to check your likelihood of divorce online by using the divorce calculator at Divorce360.com.
Justin Wolfers wrote today in the New York Times:
My favorite economist (and my significant other), Betsey Stevenson, has put together a neat online widget for the folks at Divorce360.com. The widget crunches recent marital history data to assess your chances of getting divorced, and it does this by taking account of some very simple demographics…
And the national average just isn’t that informative anyway, as there is enormous variation in divorce risk across demographic groups. My graduate-school friends — say, male college grads who married in their early 30’s and have been married for five years — are in a demographic where only 5 percent have divorced so far, and perhaps another 7 percent may divorce in the next five years. By contrast, among male high-school grads who married in their early 20’s, around 19 percent divorced in the first five years of marriage, with another 37 percent likely to separate over the next five years.
The point is that factors like age at first marriage and education tell us a lot about divorce risk.
Okay, so maybe the marriage calculator will just sink you into pessimism, but the more educated you are, the less likely you are to divorce… So get out there and learn!







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